FIRE guide

Financial independence starts with your spending.

FIRE means Financial Independence, Retire Early. The practical goal is to build enough assets that paid work becomes optional. The calculation begins with the spending your investments must cover.

Work through a complete example

Suppose you spend 3,000 a month and expect 1,000 a month of reliable income once retirement starts. The portfolio must cover the remaining 2,000 a month, or 24,000 a year.

Same spending gap, three withdrawal assumptions
Withdrawal rate Calculation Portfolio target
4% 24,000 ÷ 0.04 600,000
3.5% 24,000 ÷ 0.035 685,714
3% 24,000 ÷ 0.03 800,000

Use one currency throughout. These targets do not include tax unless your spending budget does. If the other income starts later, model the years before it starts separately; subtracting it immediately would understate the assets you need.

Calculate your spending target →

Separate the saving years from the withdrawal years

During accumulation, contributions and investment growth build the portfolio. During retirement, withdrawals and the sequence of returns determine how long it lasts. A smooth growth line is useful for comparing savings plans, but it cannot tell you whether a retirement portfolio survives an early market fall.

  1. Use the FIRE planner for the path to your target.
  2. Compare lower returns, higher spending and a lower withdrawal rate.
  3. Use the historical test or simulation to examine withdrawals after retirement.

What changes the target most?

At a 4% withdrawal rate, each permanent 100 per month of spending requires 30,000 more in portfolio assets: 100 × 12 ÷ 0.04. Reducing recurring spending can both lower that target and free money to invest, provided the reduction is sustainable.

A temporary expense needs a different treatment. A loan payment ending in five years should not automatically be multiplied by 25 as though it lasts forever. Separate long-term spending, temporary costs and one-off purchases before choosing a target.

Understand what “coasting” buys you

Coast FIRE asks when your existing investments might grow to a retirement target without more retirement contributions. You still need income for present living expenses. This can help compare a lower-paid job or shorter hours, but the calculation depends heavily on how many years remain and the return assumption.

Check the assumptions before acting

Sources and further reading

The 4% discussion refers to Bengen’s historical withdrawal study. For saving mechanics, see the SEC’s compound-interest calculator. Our methodology explains the precise conventions used here. These examples are educational scenarios, not a recommendation to retire or buy a particular investment.

Check the assumptions behind your FIRE plan

How much do the horizon and portfolio mix change a withdrawal test? See our original 30-, 40- and 50-year comparison, including every historical window and a worked pension bridge. Then test pension, fees and life events in the complete planner.